{"id":2553,"date":"2024-03-16T13:51:37","date_gmt":"2024-03-16T05:51:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/viplao.com\/?p=2553"},"modified":"2024-03-16T13:51:50","modified_gmt":"2024-03-16T05:51:50","slug":"%e6%95%85%e9%9a%9c%e5%a4%8d%e7%9b%98-%e5%a4%8d%e7%9b%98%e5%b7%a5%e5%85%b7-%e5%be%b7%e5%b0%94%e8%8f%b2%e6%b3%95%ef%bc%88delphi-method%ef%bc%89%e5%a4%8d%e7%9b%98%e6%b3%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/viplao.com\/index.php\/2024\/03\/16\/%e6%95%85%e9%9a%9c%e5%a4%8d%e7%9b%98-%e5%a4%8d%e7%9b%98%e5%b7%a5%e5%85%b7-%e5%be%b7%e5%b0%94%e8%8f%b2%e6%b3%95%ef%bc%88delphi-method%ef%bc%89%e5%a4%8d%e7%9b%98%e6%b3%95\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6545\u969c\u590d\u76d8 \u2013 \u590d\u76d8\u5de5\u5177 \u5fb7\u5c14\u83f2\u6cd5\uff08Delphi Method\uff09\u590d\u76d8\u6cd5"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"967\" height=\"362\" src=\"http:\/\/viplao.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-18.png\" alt=\"\" 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title=\"\u6848\u4f8b1\uff1a\u7528\u6237\u4f53\u9a8c\u4f18\u5316\">\u6848\u4f8b1\uff1a\u7528\u6237\u4f53\u9a8c\u4f18\u5316<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"http:\/\/viplao.com\/index.php\/2024\/03\/16\/%e6%95%85%e9%9a%9c%e5%a4%8d%e7%9b%98-%e5%a4%8d%e7%9b%98%e5%b7%a5%e5%85%b7-%e5%be%b7%e5%b0%94%e8%8f%b2%e6%b3%95%ef%bc%88delphi-method%ef%bc%89%e5%a4%8d%e7%9b%98%e6%b3%95\/#%E6%A1%88%E4%BE%8B2%EF%BC%9A%E4%BA%A7%E5%93%81%E6%8E%A8%E8%8D%90%E7%AE%97%E6%B3%95%E4%BC%98%E5%8C%96\" title=\"\u6848\u4f8b2\uff1a\u4ea7\u54c1\u63a8\u8350\u7b97\u6cd5\u4f18\u5316\">\u6848\u4f8b2\uff1a\u4ea7\u54c1\u63a8\u8350\u7b97\u6cd5\u4f18\u5316<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"http:\/\/viplao.com\/index.php\/2024\/03\/16\/%e6%95%85%e9%9a%9c%e5%a4%8d%e7%9b%98-%e5%a4%8d%e7%9b%98%e5%b7%a5%e5%85%b7-%e5%be%b7%e5%b0%94%e8%8f%b2%e6%b3%95%ef%bc%88delphi-method%ef%bc%89%e5%a4%8d%e7%9b%98%e6%b3%95\/#%E6%A1%88%E4%BE%8B3%EF%BC%9A%E7%89%A9%E6%B5%81%E9%85%8D%E9%80%81%E9%97%AE%E9%A2%98\" title=\"\u6848\u4f8b3\uff1a\u7269\u6d41\u914d\u9001\u95ee\u9898\">\u6848\u4f8b3\uff1a\u7269\u6d41\u914d\u9001\u95ee\u9898<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E5%BE%B7%E5%B0%94%E8%8F%B2%E6%B3%95%EF%BC%88Delphi_Method%EF%BC%89%E6%A8%A1%E5%9E%8B%E5%AE%9A%E4%B9%89%E4%B8%8E%E7%89%B9%E5%BE%81\"><\/span>\u5fb7\u5c14\u83f2\u6cd5\uff08Delphi Method\uff09\u6a21\u578b\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e0e\u7279\u5f81<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5fb7\u5c14\u83f2\u6cd5\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e13\u5bb6\u533f\u540d\u8c03\u67e5\u548c\u53cd\u9988\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u652f\u6301\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u7531\u4e00\u7ec4\u4e13\u5bb6\u901a\u8fc7\u591a\u8f6e\u533f\u540d\u6c9f\u901a\uff0c\u9010\u6b65\u6536\u655b\u5bf9\u67d0\u4e00\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u8fbe\u6210\u8f83\u4e3a\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u610f\u89c1\u3002\u5176\u4e3b\u8981\u7279\u5f81\u5305\u62ec\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol>\n<li><strong>\u533f\u540d\u6027<\/strong>\uff1a\u4e13\u5bb6\u4eec\u4e92\u4e0d\u77e5\u6653\u5f7c\u6b64\u7684\u8eab\u4efd\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u4e86\u76f4\u63a5\u9762\u5bf9\u9762\u4ea4\u6d41\u65f6\u7684\u4ece\u4f17\u538b\u529b\u548c\u6743\u5a01\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u9f13\u52b1\u72ec\u7acb\u601d\u8003\u548c\u8868\u8fbe\u771f\u5b9e\u89c2\u70b9\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u591a\u8f6e\u53cd\u9988<\/strong>\uff1a\u95ee\u9898\u901a\u8fc7\u95ee\u5377\u6216\u8c03\u67e5\u8868\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u53d1\u653e\u7ed9\u4e13\u5bb6\uff0c\u4e13\u5bb6\u4eec\u5728\u591a\u8f6e\u53cd\u9988\u4e2d\u5bf9\u95ee\u9898\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u4f30\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u8f6e\u90fd\u4f1a\u53c2\u8003\u4e0a\u4e00\u8f6e\u7684\u53cd\u9988\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u4fee\u6b63\u548c\u8c03\u6574\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u6c47\u603b\u4e0e\u53cd\u9988<\/strong>\uff1a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u8005\u5bf9\u6bcf\u4e00\u8f6e\u7684\u4e13\u5bb6\u610f\u89c1\u8fdb\u884c\u7edf\u8ba1\u548c\u5f52\u7eb3\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u6c47\u603b\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u4e0b\u4e00\u8f6e\u4e2d\u53cd\u9988\u7ed9\u6240\u6709\u4e13\u5bb6\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u610f\u89c1\u7684\u9010\u6b65\u8d8b\u540c\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u6536\u655b\u6027<\/strong>\uff1a\u7ecf\u8fc7\u591a\u8f6e\u8fed\u4ee3\uff0c\u4e13\u5bb6\u4eec\u7684\u610f\u89c1\u9010\u6e10\u8d8b\u4e8e\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u591a\u6570\u4e13\u5bb6\u7684\u5171\u8bc6\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E4%BD%BF%E7%94%A8%E5%BE%B7%E5%B0%94%E8%8F%B2%E5%A4%8D%E7%9B%98%E6%B3%95%E7%9A%84%E9%97%AE%E9%A2%98%E5%A4%8D%E7%9B%98%E6%A1%88%E4%BE%8B\"><\/span>\u4f7f\u7528\u5fb7\u5c14\u83f2\u590d\u76d8\u6cd5\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u590d\u76d8\u6848\u4f8b<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E6%A1%88%E4%BE%8B1%EF%BC%9A%E7%94%A8%E6%88%B7%E4%BD%93%E9%AA%8C%E4%BC%98%E5%8C%96\"><\/span>\u6848\u4f8b1\uff1a\u7528\u6237\u4f53\u9a8c\u4f18\u5316<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u95ee\u9898<\/strong>\uff1a\u7535\u5546\u5e73\u53f0\u9700\u8981\u63d0\u5347\u7528\u6237\u8d2d\u7269\u4f53\u9a8c\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u7528\u6237\u6d41\u5931\u7387\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u590d\u76d8\u6d41\u7a0b<\/strong>\uff1a\u9080\u8bf7\u4e1a\u754c\u4e13\u5bb6\u3001\u4ea7\u54c1\u7ecf\u7406\u3001\u8bbe\u8ba1\u5e08\u3001\u5ba2\u670d\u56e2\u961f\u7b49\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u533f\u540d\u586b\u5199\u8c03\u67e5\u95ee\u5377\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5e74\u5185\u5f71\u54cd\u7528\u6237\u4f53\u9a8c\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5e76\u63d0\u51fa\u6539\u8fdb\u5efa\u8bae\u3002\u591a\u8f6e\u53cd\u9988\u540e\uff0c\u6c47\u805a\u5171\u8bc6\uff0c\u786e\u5b9a\u4f18\u5316\u65b9\u5411\u548c\u5b9e\u65bd\u8ba1\u5212\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E6%A1%88%E4%BE%8B2%EF%BC%9A%E4%BA%A7%E5%93%81%E6%8E%A8%E8%8D%90%E7%AE%97%E6%B3%95%E4%BC%98%E5%8C%96\"><\/span>\u6848\u4f8b2\uff1a\u4ea7\u54c1\u63a8\u8350\u7b97\u6cd5\u4f18\u5316<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u95ee\u9898<\/strong>\uff1a\u7535\u5546\u5e73\u53f0\u73b0\u6709\u63a8\u8350\u7b97\u6cd5\u65e0\u6cd5\u6709\u6548\u63d0\u5347\u7528\u6237\u8d2d\u4e70\u8f6c\u5316\u7387\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u590d\u76d8\u6d41\u7a0b<\/strong>\uff1a\u53ec\u96c6\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u3001\u7b97\u6cd5\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e08\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u5206\u6790\u4e13\u5bb6\u7b49\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5fb7\u5c14\u83f2\u6cd5\u533f\u540d\u8ba8\u8bba\u5f53\u524d\u63a8\u8350\u7b97\u6cd5\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u53ca\u6539\u8fdb\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u5728\u591a\u8f6e\u533f\u540d\u6295\u7968\u548c\u53cd\u9988\u540e\uff0c\u786e\u5b9a\u4f18\u5316\u7b97\u6cd5\u7684\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u7d20\u548c\u5b9e\u65bd\u65b9\u6848\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E6%A1%88%E4%BE%8B3%EF%BC%9A%E7%89%A9%E6%B5%81%E9%85%8D%E9%80%81%E9%97%AE%E9%A2%98\"><\/span>\u6848\u4f8b3\uff1a\u7269\u6d41\u914d\u9001\u95ee\u9898<span 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fa-arrow-right\"><\/i><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[4],"views":1094,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/viplao.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2553"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/viplao.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/viplao.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/viplao.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/viplao.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2553"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/viplao.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2553\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2556,"href":"http:\/\/viplao.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2553\/revisions\/2556"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/viplao.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2553"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/viplao.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2553"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/viplao.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2553"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}